Tropical Storm ALEX
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TROPICAL STORM ALEX SPECIAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM EDT MON AUG 02 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT THU AUG 5 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
33.4N 77.3W 32 6 X X 38 NANTUCKET MA X X 5 9 14
35.3N 74.3W X 23 5 X 28 HYANNIS MA X X 4 9 13
37.5N 70.5W X 1 16 5 22 BOSTON MA X X 2 6 8
BERMUDA X X X 2 2 PORTLAND ME X X 1 4 5
SAVANNAH GA 4 1 X X 5 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 7 7
CHARLESTON SC 42 X X X 42 EASTPORT ME X X X 7 7
MYRTLE BEACH SC 38 X X X 38 ST JOHN NB X X X 7 7
WILMINGTON NC 30 6 X X 36 MONCTON NB X X X 6 6
MOREHEAD CITY NC 14 20 X X 34 YARMOUTH NS X X X 11 11
CAPE HATTERAS NC 2 28 1 X 31 HALIFAX NS X X X 10 10
NORFOLK VA X 17 4 X 21 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 9 9
OCEAN CITY MD X 7 8 1 16 SYDNEY NS X X X 6 6
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X 2 7 2 11 EDDY POINT NS X X X 8 8
NEW YORK CITY NY X X 5 3 8 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X X 4 4
MONTAUK POINT NY X X 5 7 12 BURGEO NFLD X X X 3 3
PROVIDENCE RI X X 4 6 10 ILE ST PIERRE X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM TUE TO 2PM TUE
C FROM 2PM TUE TO 2AM WED
D FROM 2AM WED TO 2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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