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Tropical Storm ALEX

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TROPICAL STORM ALEX SPECIAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM EDT MON AUG 02 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT THU AUG  5 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
33.4N  77.3W      32  6  X  X 38   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  5  9 14
35.3N  74.3W       X 23  5  X 28   HYANNIS MA         X  X  4  9 13
37.5N  70.5W       X  1 16  5 22   BOSTON MA          X  X  2  6  8
BERMUDA            X  X  X  2  2   PORTLAND ME        X  X  1  4  5
SAVANNAH GA        4  1  X  X  5   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  7  7
CHARLESTON SC     42  X  X  X 42   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  7  7
MYRTLE BEACH SC   38  X  X  X 38   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  7  7
WILMINGTON NC     30  6  X  X 36   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  6  6
MOREHEAD CITY NC  14 20  X  X 34   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X 11 11
CAPE HATTERAS NC   2 28  1  X 31   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X 10 10
NORFOLK VA         X 17  4  X 21   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  9  9
OCEAN CITY MD      X  7  8  1 16   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  6  6
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  2  7  2 11   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  8  8
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  5  3  8   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  4  4
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  5  7 12   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  3  3
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  4  6 10   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
C FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
D FROM  2AM WED TO  2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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