Tropical Storm KAY
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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142004
2100Z TUE OCT 05 2004
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 116.6W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 116.6W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 116.1W
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 15.6N 118.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 15.7N 120.1W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 15.8N 121.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 15.9N 123.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 16.0N 127.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 16.0N 130.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 16.0N 132.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 116.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z
FORECASTER PASCH
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