Tropical Storm ISIS

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TROPICAL STORM ISIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122004
0900Z THU SEP 09 2004
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 113.1W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  85SE  60SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 113.1W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 112.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 17.3N 114.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  10SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 17.9N 116.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 15NE  15SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 18.5N 118.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE  85SE  85SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 19.1N 121.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE  85SE  85SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 19.8N 127.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 20.0N 133.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 20.0N 140.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 113.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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