Hurricane OLAF
ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLAF SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT MON OCT 06 2003 ...OLAF MUCH WEAKER...RELOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST... AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING AND THE HURRICANE WATCH...AND ADJUSTED THE LOCATION OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO CABO CORRIENTES. BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...THE CENTER OF OLAF HAS BEEN RELOCATED WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY POSITION. AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 104.3 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES...140 KM...SOUTH OF MANZANILLO. OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR. A NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF OLAF WILL BE INLAND OR VERY CLOSE TO THE COAST BY EARLY TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES ... 55 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ARE LIKELY ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA TODAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH OLAF COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...17.8 N...104.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN NNNN