Hurricane IGNACIO
ZCZC MIATCPEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON AUG 25 2003 ...IGNACIO CONTINUES TO DRIFT ERRATICALLY NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA...FLOODING RAINS OCCURRING... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF SAN EVARISTO ON THE EAST COAST AND SOUTH OF BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LORETO TO SAN EVARISTO AND FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO BAHIA MAGDALENA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO TOPOLOBAMPO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO HUATABAMPITO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES...80 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LA PAZ MEXICO. IGNACIO IS DRIFTING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH ...4 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED LATER TODAY. THE CENTER OF IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE VERY CLOSE TO THE EAST COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MAKING IGNACIO A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 20 TO 25 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA. THESE RAINS WILL CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND FAST-MOVING MUD SLIDES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...24.0 N...109.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 976 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. FORECASTER STEWART NNNN