Tropical Storm LARRY
ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LARRY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 AM CDT SAT OCT 04 2003 ...LARRY MEANDERING OVER THE SOUTHERN BAY OF CAMPECHE... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM TUXPAN TO CAMPECHE. AT 1 AM CDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LARRY WAS LOCATED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 94.0 WEST OR ABOUT 145 MILES...235 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO. LARRY HAS BEEN MEANDERING DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS BUT A SOUTHWARD DRIFT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TODAY. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE LARRY CLOSER TO THE COAST OF MEXICO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE ESTIMATED TO BE OCCURRING AT THIS TIME. AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 3 FEET OF STORM SURGE CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE CENTER WITHIN THE WARNING AREA AS THE LARRY MOVES ASHORE. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH LARRY ARE SPREADING ONSHORE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 1 AM CDT POSITION...19.5 N... 94.0 W. MOVEMENT... MEANDERING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 995 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 AM CDT. FORECASTER AVILA NNNN