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Tropical Storm LARRY

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TROPICAL STORM LARRY ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SAT OCT 04 2003

...LARRY MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHWARD TOWARD MEXICO...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM TUXPAN TO CAMPECHE.
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LARRY WAS 
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  93.8 WEST OR ABOUT
40 MILES...60 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF VILLAHERMOSA MEXICO.
 
LARRY IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH NEAR  4 MPH...7 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
THIS MOTION WILL CONTINUE TO BRING LARRY CLOSER TO THE COAST OF
MEXICO THIS EVENING...WITH LANDFALL POSSIBLY OCCURRING BY SUNDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  85 MILES
...140 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  996 MB...29.41 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE ESTIMATED TO
BE OCCURRING AT THIS TIME. AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 3 FEET OF STORM SURGE
CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE CENTER WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA AS LARRY MOVES CLOSER TO THE COAST.
 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH LARRY ARE ALSO POSSIBLE
OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOOD AND MUDSLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...18.7 N... 93.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTH NEAR  4 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 996 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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