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Tropical Storm LARRY

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TROPICAL STORM LARRY ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT SAT OCT 04 2003

...LARRY DRIFTING SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD MEXICO...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM TUXPAN TO CAMPECHE.
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LARRY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  93.7 WEST OR ABOUT 
75 MILES...120 KM...NORTHWEST OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO.
 
LARRY IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST NEAR  2 MPH... 4 KM/HR... 
AND A GENERAL SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR SOUTH IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION WOULD BRING LARRY
CLOSER TO THE COAST OF MEXICO TODAY...WITH LANDFALL POSSIBLY
OCCURRING BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE ESTIMATED TO
BE OCCURRING AT THIS TIME. AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 3 FEET OF STORM SURGE
CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE CENTER WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA AS LARRY MOVES CLOSER TO THE COAST.
 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH LARRY ARE ALSO POSSIBLE
OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOOD AND MUDSLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...19.3 N... 93.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHEAST NEAR  2 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL 
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE 
ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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