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Hurricane JUAN

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HURRICANE JUAN ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SUN SEP 28 2003

...JUAN MOVING FASTER TOWARD NOVA SCOTIA...

RAIN AND WIND WARNINGS CONTINUE IN EFFECT FOR NOVA SCOTIA. 
HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNINGS CONTINUE IN EFFECT FOR THE NOVA
SCOTIA MARINE AREAS.
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JUAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 41.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 64.1 WEST OR ABOUT 240 MILES...385
KM...SOUTH OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA.

JUAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR...AND A
CONTINUED NORTHWARD MOTION WITH A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...JUAN
WILL BE NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA IN A FEW HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ALTHOUGH SOME WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS JUAN MOVES OVER COLDER
WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...JUAN IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE
OF HURRICANE INTENSITY WHEN IT MAKES LANDFALL.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES...370 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  973 MB...28.73 INCHES.

SOME STORM SURGE FLOODING IN EXCESS OF 3 FT...OR 1 METER...MAY OCCUR
ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA.  JUAN IS EXPECTED TO MAKE
LANDFALL NEAR ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...41.2 N... 64.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 23 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...100 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 973 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM AST.
 
FORECASTER PASCH 
 
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