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Tropical Storm GRACE

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GRACE ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2003

...GRACE AT THE TEXAS COAST...
 
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED FOR THE TEXAS COAST.
MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS
AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE ELONGATED CENTER OF THE TROPICAL
DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  96.4
WEST.  THIS POSITION IS AT THE TEXAS COAST NEAR PORT OCONNOR. 
SINCE THE CENTER IS ELONGATED...IT COULD JUST AS WELL HAVE BEEN
POSITIONED 100 MILES FURTHER NORTH NEAR HOUSTON.  THE EXACT
LOCATION OF THE CENTER IS NOT IMPORTANT SINCE THE HEAVY RAIN AND
STRONGEST WINDS EXTEND WELL NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.  THESE
RAINS AND WIND HAVE ALREADY SPREAD INLAND ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS
COAST 
 
GRACE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH AND THIS MOTION...
WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED TO BRING GRACE
INLAND OVER SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR  35 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ADDITONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS
THE DEPRESSION MOVES INLAND.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

THE PRIMARY THREAT IS HEAVY RAINFALL.  UP TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN HAS
ALREADY BEEN OBSERVED IN PORTIONS OF GALVESTON AND HARRISON
COUNTIES.  AN ADDITIONAL 6 TO 9 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS
ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN TEXAS AND LESSER AMOUNTS ARE
POSSIBLE OVER WESTERN LOUISIANA.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS NEAR
ITS PEAK ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS COAST AND IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
SUBSIDE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...28.4 N... 96.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES
ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT31 KWNH...BEGINNING AT 4 PM CDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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