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Hurricane FABIAN

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BULLETIN
HURRICANE FABIAN ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SUN AUG 31 2003

...FABIAN EXPECTED TO PASS WELL NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS IN A
DAY OR TWO...
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE FABIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  53.2 WEST OR ABOUT 550 MILES...885
KM...EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.
 
FABIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE WEST NORTHWEST IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
ON THIS TRACK...FABIAN IS EXPECTED TO PASS WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WILL REACH FABIAN EARLY
MONDAY.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  952 MB...28.11 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...18.1 N... 53.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 952 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM AST.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
  
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