Tropical Storm ERIKA
ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM CDT SAT AUG 16 2003 ...ERIKA EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND... THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM LA PESCA MEXICO NORTHWARD TO THE U.S. BORDER HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. THIS WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS AFTERNOON. AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIKA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.3 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES...85 KM...SOUTHWST OF MATAMOROS MEXICO. ERIKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ERIKA IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF MEXICO IN ABOUT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF ERIKA. THIS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODS...AND MUDSLIDES IN AREAS NEAR ELEVATED TERRAIN. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES ALONG THE MIDDLE AND LOWER TEXAS COAST TODAY. REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...25.3 N... 98.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT. FORECASTER AVILA NNNN