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Tropical Storm NICHOLAS

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TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST WED OCT 15 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF NICHOLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  43.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST SAT OCT 18 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
13.5N  46.1W      51  X  X  X 51   16.0N  47.6W       7 20  1  1 29
14.7N  47.0W      29  7  X  X 36
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
C FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
D FROM  8AM FRI TO  8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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