Tropical Storm LARRY
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TROPICAL STORM LARRY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT SUN OCT 05 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF LARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1AM CDT WED OCT 8 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
17.0N 93.5W 42 X X X 42 MMTX 210N 974W X 1 2 5 8
16.0N 94.0W 27 1 1 X 29 MMVR 192N 961W 8 4 2 3 17
15.5N 94.5W 17 6 2 1 26 MMFR 185N 926W 99 X X X 99
MMTM 222N 979W X X 1 3 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1AM MON TO 1PM MON
C FROM 1PM MON TO 1AM TUE
D FROM 1AM TUE TO 1AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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