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Hurricane JUAN

ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE JUAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SUN SEP 28 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF JUAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  64.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST WED OCT  1 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
46.0N  63.9W      19  5  X  X 24   YARMOUTH NS       28  1  X  X 29
53.8N  62.9W       X 12  X  X 12   HALIFAX NS        26  2  X  X 28
HYANNIS MA         2  X  X  X  2   SABLE ISLAND NS   10  3  X  X 13
PORTLAND ME        4  X  X  X  4   SYDNEY NS          7  7  X  X 14
BAR HARBOR ME     12  1  X  X 13   EDDY POINT NS     14  5  X  X 19
EASTPORT ME       19  2  X  X 21   PTX BASQUES NFLD   2  9  X  X 11
ST JOHN NB        22  2  X  X 24   BURGEO NFLD        1  6  X  X  7
MONCTON NB        18  5  X  X 23   ILE ST PIERRE      1  2  X  X  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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