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Hurricane JUAN

ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE JUAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SAT SEP 27 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF JUAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  62.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST TUE SEP 30 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
38.9N  63.4W      27  3  X  X 30   MONCTON NB         X  3 15  1 19
43.0N  63.2W       X 15  7  X 22   YARMOUTH NS        X 14  6  X 20
48.7N  62.0W       X  X 11  4 15   HALIFAX NS         X  7 13  X 20
NANTUCKET MA       X  3  X  X  3   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  2 11  1 14
HYANNIS MA         X  3  X  X  3   SYDNEY NS          X  X 12  2 14
BOSTON MA          X  2  X  X  2   EDDY POINT NS      X  1 14  1 16
PORTLAND ME        X  3  2  X  5   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  8  5 13
BAR HARBOR ME      X  8  6  X 14   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  5  5 10
EASTPORT ME        X  8  9  X 17   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  3  4  7
ST JOHN NB         X  7 12  X 19   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  1  2  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
C FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
D FROM  2AM MON TO  2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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