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Hurricane JUAN

ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE JUAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST FRI SEP 26 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF JUAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  62.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST MON SEP 29 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
35.5N  63.0W      29  X  X  X 29   ST JOHN NB         X  X  2 11 13
37.5N  63.5W       4 14  2  X 20   MONCTON NB         X  X  1 12 13
40.0N  64.0W       X  6  8  3 17   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  5  9 14
BERMUDA           13  1  X  X 14   HALIFAX NS         X  X  2 12 14
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  3  2  5   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  1 10 11
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  3  4  7   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X 11 11
NANTUCKET MA       X  1  5  4 10   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X 12 12
HYANNIS MA         X  X  5  4  9   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  9  9
BOSTON MA          X  X  3  5  8   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  7  7
PORTLAND ME        X  X  3  6  9   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  6  6
BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  3  9 12   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  3  3
EASTPORT ME        X  X  3 10 13
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
C FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
D FROM  8AM SUN TO  8AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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