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Hurricane ISABEL

ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  48
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED SEP 17 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  73.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
36.5N  77.5W      41  X  X  X 41   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  3  9  1 13
39.5N  78.5W       4 23  X  X 27   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  5  3  8
43.0N  77.5W       X  3 14  3 20   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  4  3  7
CHARLESTON SC      1  1  X  X  2   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  2  2  4
MYRTLE BEACH SC   18  X  X  X 18   HYANNIS MA         X  X  2  2  4
WILMINGTON NC     42  X  X  X 42   BOSTON MA          X  X  3  4  7
MOREHEAD CITY NC  55  X  X  X 55   PORTLAND ME        X  X  1  5  6
CAPE HATTERAS NC  46  X  X  X 46   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  4  4
NORFOLK VA        30  2  X  1 33   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  3  3
OCEAN CITY MD      6 11  1  X 18   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  2  2
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   1  9  5  X 15
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
C FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
D FROM  8PM FRI TO  8PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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