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Hurricane ISABEL

ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  44
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  71.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
31.7N  73.7W      46  X  X  1 47   OCEAN CITY MD      X  1  7  5 13
34.0N  75.5W       7 20  X  X 27   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  3  8 11
36.6N  77.5W       X  9  9  2 20   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  1  7  8
CHARLESTON SC      X  1  3  1  5   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  5  5
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  9  4  X 13   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  4  4
WILMINGTON NC      1 16  2  X 19   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  3  3
MOREHEAD CITY NC   1 21  1  X 23   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  3  3
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X 19  2  1 22   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  3  3
NORFOLK VA         X  6 10  2 18   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
C FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
D FROM  8PM THU TO  8PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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