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Hurricane ISABEL

ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SAT SEP 13 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  61.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST TUE SEP 16 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
23.0N  64.8W      57  X  X  X 57   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  2  6  8
23.7N  66.7W      15 21  X  1 37   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  9  9
24.5N  68.7W       X 18 10  1 29   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  4  4
MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  1  1  2   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  2  2
MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  4  5  9
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
C FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
D FROM  8AM MON TO  8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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