Hurricane ISABEL
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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST THU SEP 11 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.1 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST SUN SEP 14 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
22.3N 59.4W 56 X X X 56 TJSJ 184N 661W X X X 2 2
22.7N 61.3W 17 19 X X 36 MBJT 215N 712W X X X 3 3
23.3N 63.2W X 20 7 X 27 ST THOMAS VI X X 1 1 2
TNCM 181N 631W X X 1 1 2 SAN JUAN PR X X X 2 2
TIST 183N 650W X X 1 1 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM FRI TO 8AM SAT
C FROM 8AM SAT TO 8PM SAT
D FROM 8PM SAT TO 8PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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