Hurricane ISABEL
ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM AST WED SEP 10 2003 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.9 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST SAT SEP 13 2003 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E TFFR 163N 615W X X X 2 2 ST CROIX VI X X X 2 2 TAPA 171N 618W X X X 3 3 ST THOMAS VI X X X 3 3 TKPK 173N 627W X X X 3 3 SAN JUAN PR X X X 2 2 TNCM 181N 631W X X X 5 5 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM THU FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 2PM THU TO 2AM FRI C FROM 2AM FRI TO 2PM FRI D FROM 2PM FRI TO 2PM SAT E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SAT X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER STEWART NNNN