Hurricane ISABEL
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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST MON SEP 08 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 44.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST THU SEP 11 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
19.9N 48.5W 52 X X X 52 TFFF 146N 610W X X X 2 2
20.0N 50.6W 23 14 X X 37 TDPR 153N 614W X X X 2 2
20.0N 52.5W 1 24 3 1 29 TFFR 163N 615W X X X 3 3
TBPB 131N 595W X X X 3 3 TAPA 171N 618W X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM TUE TO 8AM WED
C FROM 8AM WED TO 8PM WED
D FROM 8PM WED TO 8PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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