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Tropical Depression TWELVE

ZCZC MIASPFAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT THU SEP 04 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  86.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT SUN SEP  7 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
28.3N  83.8W      35  X  X  X 35   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  5  5
28.8N  82.6W      20  2  1  X 23   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  3  3
29.5N  81.5W       9  6  2  2 19   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  2  2
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  1  2  3   KEY WEST FL        X  1  2  3  6
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  1  1  2   MARCO ISLAND FL    1  4  3  3 11
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  2  2   FT MYERS FL        4  5  3  2 14
MYGF 266N 787W     X  1  2  4  7   VENICE FL         12  3  2  1 18
MARATHON FL        X  1  2  2  5   TAMPA FL          17  3  1  1 22
MIAMI FL           X  1  3  3  7   CEDAR KEY FL      22  2  X  1 25
W PALM BEACH FL    X  3  3  4 10   ST MARKS FL       15  3  1  1 20
FT PIERCE FL       1  5  3  3 12   APALACHICOLA FL   19  2  1  X 22
COCOA BEACH FL     3  6  3  3 15   PANAMA CITY FL    12  3  1  1 17
DAYTONA BEACH FL   7  6  3  2 18   PENSACOLA FL       1  3  2  2  8
JACKSONVILLE FL    6  7  3  2 18   MOBILE AL          X  1  2  1  4
SAVANNAH GA        1  6  4  4 15   GULFPORT MS        X  X  1  2  3
CHARLESTON SC      X  3  5  5 13   BURAS LA           X  X  1  1  2
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  1  4  6 11   GULF 29N 85W      34  1  X  X 35
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  3  7 10   GULF 29N 87W      13  2  X  1 16
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  2  6  8   GULF 28N 89W       1  1  2  1  5
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  1  6  7
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM FRI TO  1AM SAT
C FROM  1AM SAT TO  1PM SAT
D FROM  1PM SAT TO  1PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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