Tropical Depression TWELVE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT WED SEP 03 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  87.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT SAT SEP  6 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
28.5N  84.6W      45  X  X  X 45   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  1  7  8
29.0N  82.8W      16  6  1  1 24   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  7  7
29.3N  81.0W       1 10  4  3 18   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  6  6
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  2  2   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  4  4
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  1  3  4   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  2  2
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  1  2  3   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  2  2
MUHA 230N 824W     X  1  2  3  6   KEY WEST FL        X  3  4  3 10
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  1  1  2   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  9  4  2 15
MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  2  2   FT MYERS FL        1 11  3  2 17
MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  2  2   VENICE FL          7 10  2  1 20
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  1  4  5   TAMPA FL          12  8  2  X 22
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  2  5  7   CEDAR KEY FL      18  5  1  1 25
MYGF 266N 787W     X  1  5  5 11   ST MARKS FL       16  5  1  X 22
MARATHON FL        X  2  5  3 10   APALACHICOLA FL   29  X  X  1 30
MIAMI FL           X  3  6  3 12   PANAMA CITY FL    22  2  X  X 24
W PALM BEACH FL    X  4  6  4 14   PENSACOLA FL       6  4  1  X 11
FT PIERCE FL       X  7  5  3 15   MOBILE AL          1  2  1  1  5
COCOA BEACH FL     X  9  5  3 17   GULFPORT MS        X  1  1  1  3
DAYTONA BEACH FL   1 11  4  2 18   BURAS LA           1  1  X  1  3
JACKSONVILLE FL    1 10  4  2 17   GULF 29N 85W      43  X  X  X 43
SAVANNAH GA        X  3  6  4 13   GULF 29N 87W      44  X  X  X 44
CHARLESTON SC      X  1  5  5 11   GULF 28N 89W      30  X  X  X 30
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  3  7 10
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM THU TO  7AM FRI
C FROM  7AM FRI TO  7PM FRI
D FROM  7PM FRI TO  7PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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