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Hurricane FABIAN

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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FABIAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SUN AUG 31 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF FABIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  54.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST WED SEP  3 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
19.0N  58.0W      50  X  X  X 50   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  3  3  6
20.0N  60.0W       8 25  X  X 33   TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  X  2  2
21.0N  62.0W       X 13 12  1 26   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  1  3  4
TFFR 163N 615W     X  1  1  X  2   ST CROIX VI        X  X  2  2  4
TAPA 171N 618W     X  3  3  X  6   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  3  3  6
TKPK 173N 627W     X  1  4  1  6   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  1  3  4
TNCM 181N 631W     X  2  6  2 10   PONCE PR           X  X  X  2  2
TISX 177N 648W     X  X  2  2  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
C FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
D FROM  2PM TUE TO  2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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