Hurricane FABIAN

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HURRICANE FABIAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SUN AUG 31 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF FABIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  53.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST WED SEP  3 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
19.3N  57.3W      47  X  X  X 47   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  2  5  7
20.0N  59.5W       6 26  X  X 32   TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  X  3  3
21.0N  61.5W       X 14 11  1 26   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  1  4  5
TFFR 163N 615W     X  1  2  1  4   ST CROIX VI        X  X  2  3  5
TAPA 171N 618W     X  3  4  1  8   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  2  5  7
TKPK 173N 627W     X  1  4  3  8   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  1  4  5
TNCM 181N 631W     X  1  7  3 11   PONCE PR           X  X  X  3  3
TISX 177N 648W     X  X  2  3  5
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
C FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
D FROM  8AM TUE TO  8AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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