Hurricane FABIAN
ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE FABIAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM AST SUN AUG 31 2003 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF FABIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.9 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST WED SEP 3 2003 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 19.3N 55.8W 49 X X X 49 TISX 177N 648W X X X 3 3 20.1N 57.8W 13 20 X X 33 TIST 183N 650W X X X 4 4 21.0N 59.8W X 17 9 1 27 TJSJ 184N 661W X X X 2 2 TFFR 163N 615W X X 2 2 4 ST CROIX VI X X X 3 3 TAPA 171N 618W X X 3 3 6 ST THOMAS VI X X X 4 4 TKPK 173N 627W X X 2 3 5 SAN JUAN PR X X X 2 2 TNCM 181N 631W X X 2 6 8 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM MON FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 2AM MON TO 2PM MON C FROM 2PM MON TO 2AM TUE D FROM 2AM TUE TO 2AM WED E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM WED X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER JARVINEN NNNN