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Tropical Storm ERIKA

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TROPICAL STORM ERIKA PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT FRI AUG 15 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ERIKA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  91.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7AM CDT MON AUG 18 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
26.0N  98.0W      40  X  X  X 40   CORPUSCHRISTI TX  26  1  1  X 28
26.0N 100.5W      17 12  X  X 29   BROWNSVILLE TX    45  X  X  X 45
26.0N 102.5W       2 19  2  X 23   GULF 28N 91W       6  X  X  X  6
MMSO 238N 982W     6  4  1  X 11   GULF 28N 93W      19  X  X  X 19
GALVESTON TX       2  X  1  X  3   GULF 28N 95W      28  X  X  X 28
FREEPORT TX        5  1  1  X  7   GULF 27N 96W      55  X  X  X 55
PORT O CONNOR TX  17  1  X  X 18   GULF 25N 96W      34  X  X  X 34
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7AM SAT TO  7PM SAT
C FROM  7PM SAT TO  7AM SUN
D FROM  7AM SUN TO  7AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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