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Tropical Storm ERIKA

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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT THU AUG 14 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ERIKA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  86.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT SUN AUG 17 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
26.5N  93.7W      41  1  X  X 42   PORT O CONNOR TX   1 20  1  1 23
26.4N  97.0W       5 25  1  X 31   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   1 22  2  1 26
26.3N  99.9W       X 15  8  1 24   BROWNSVILLE TX     3 24  1  X 28
MMSO 238N 982W     X  7  4  2 13   GULF 28N 89W      46  X  X  X 46
MMTM 222N 979W     X  X  2  2  4   GULF 28N 91W      42  X  X  1 43
BURAS LA           2  X  X  X  2   GULF 28N 93W      31  2  X  X 33
NEW IBERIA LA      1  2  X  X  3   GULF 28N 95W      12 15  1  X 28
PORT ARTHUR TX     1  3  2  X  6   GULF 27N 96W      12 20  1  X 33
GALVESTON TX       1 11  1  1 14   GULF 25N 96W       9 13  1  X 23
FREEPORT TX        1 14  2  X 17
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM FRI TO  7AM SAT
C FROM  7AM SAT TO  7PM SAT
D FROM  7PM SAT TO  7PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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