Tropical Depression SIX

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SUN JUL 20 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  52.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST WED JUL 23 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
14.5N  59.8W      52  2  X  X 54   MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  X 22 22
15.5N  63.9W       X 34  2  X 36   MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  X 13 13
16.6N  67.7W       X  1 25  2 28   MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  X 11 11
TGPY 120N 618W     1  3  X  X  4   MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X  2  2
TBPB 131N 595W    29  1  X  X 30   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  X 21 21
TVSV 131N 612W    12 11  X  X 23   MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X 12 12
TLPL 138N 610W    24 13  X  X 37   MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  3  3
TFFF 146N 610W    31 15  X  X 46   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  2 22  1 25
TDPR 153N 614W    17 29  X  X 46   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  2 20 22
SVBS 157N 636W     X 36  1  1 38   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  X 15 15
TFFR 163N 615W     7 34  X  X 41   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  X 13 13
TAPA 171N 618W     1 31  X  X 32   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  5  5
TKPK 173N 627W     X 29  2  X 31   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  8  8
TNCM 181N 631W     X 18  5  X 23   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  4  4
TISX 177N 648W     X 14 14  1 29   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  2  2
TIST 183N 650W     X  7 17  1 25   ST CROIX VI        X 14 14  1 29
TJPS 180N 666W     X  2 24  1 27   ST THOMAS VI       X  7 17  1 25
MDSD 185N 697W     X  X 11 14 25   SAN JUAN PR        X  2 22  1 25
MDCB 176N 714W     X  X  4 20 24   PONCE PR           X  2 24  1 27
MTPP 186N 724W     X  X  1 23 24
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
C FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
D FROM  2PM TUE TO  2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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