Tropical Storm CLAUDETTE
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TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT FRI JUL 11 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF CLAUDETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT MON JUL 14 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
23.9N 90.7W 43 X X X 43 PORT ARTHUR TX X X 3 8 11
25.2N 92.4W 6 24 X 1 31 GALVESTON TX X X 7 7 14
25.8N 93.5W X 24 2 X 26 FREEPORT TX X X 8 7 15
MUAN 219N 850W 5 X X X 5 PORT O CONNOR TX X 1 9 6 16
MMCZ 205N 869W 99 X X X 99 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X 1 8 6 15
MMSO 238N 982W X X 1 8 9 BROWNSVILLE TX X 2 8 5 15
MMTM 222N 979W X X X 5 5 GULF 29N 87W X X X 2 2
MMTX 210N 974W X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 89W X X 2 4 6
MMMD 210N 897W 28 X X X 28 GULF 28N 91W X 2 6 4 12
MOBILE AL X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 93W X 4 9 4 17
GULFPORT MS X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 95W X 3 11 4 18
BURAS LA X X 1 4 5 GULF 27N 96W X 6 9 4 19
NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 5 5 GULF 25N 96W X 8 5 4 17
NEW IBERIA LA X X 1 7 8
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM SAT TO 2PM SAT
C FROM 2PM SAT TO 2AM SUN
D FROM 2AM SUN TO 2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER JARVINEN
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