Tropical Storm BILL
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TROPICAL STORM BILL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT MON JUN 30 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.6 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1AM CDT THU JUL 3 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
32.0N 91.0W 40 1 X X 41 CEDAR KEY FL X X 1 3 4
34.0N 89.0W 7 18 1 X 26 ST MARKS FL X X 3 4 7
35.0N 86.0W X 3 13 3 19 APALACHICOLA FL X X 4 3 7
COCOA BEACH FL X X X 2 2 PANAMA CITY FL X 1 4 3 8
DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 4 4 PENSACOLA FL 1 6 4 1 12
JACKSONVILLE FL X X 1 6 7 MOBILE AL 7 9 1 X 17
SAVANNAH GA X X 1 8 9 GULFPORT MS 18 3 1 X 22
CHARLESTON SC X X X 9 9 BURAS LA 26 X X X 26
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 9 9 NEW ORLEANS LA 45 1 X X 46
WILMINGTON NC X X X 8 8 NEW IBERIA LA 63 X X X 63
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 7 7 PORT ARTHUR TX 13 1 X X 14
CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 5 5 GULF 29N 85W X X 2 3 5
NORFOLK VA X X X 6 6 GULF 29N 87W X 2 3 1 6
OCEAN CITY MD X X X 4 4 GULF 28N 89W 3 2 1 X 6
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 91W 99 X X X 99
NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 93W 57 X X X 57
TAMPA FL X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1AM TUE TO 1PM TUE
C FROM 1PM TUE TO 1AM WED
D FROM 1AM WED TO 1AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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