Hurricane MARTY

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HURRICANE MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132003
2100Z MON SEP 22 2003
 
HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM LORETO TO BAHIA SAN JUAN
BAUTISTA ON THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND FROM TOPOLOBAMPO
TO BAHIA KINO ON MAINLAND MEXICO.
 
AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM LORETO
SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE
WEST COAST.
 
AT 2 PM PDT...2100...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE
HURRICANE WATCH ON THE MAINLAND FROM TOPOLOBAMPO TO ALTATA AND THE
HURRICANE WATCH ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUNTA
ABRAOJOS TO BAHIA MAGDALENA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 110.7W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  30SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT.......100NE 150SE  50SW  25NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 250SE  50SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 110.7W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 110.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 27.7N 111.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  30SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 50NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 29.4N 112.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 25NE  75SE  25SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 30.7N 112.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 31.5N 112.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 32.5N 113.0W...INLAND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.4N 110.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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