Tropical Depression NINE-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092003
0300Z SAT AUG 23 2003
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA MEXICO FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 107.4W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 107.4W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 107.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 21.6N 108.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 22.3N 108.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 23.0N 109.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 23.8N 110.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 24.5N 111.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 25.5N 113.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 26.5N 114.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 107.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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