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Tropical Storm FELICIA

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062003
0900Z MON JUL 21 2003
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 125.3W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 125.3W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 124.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 16.1N 127.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 16.6N 129.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 17.2N 132.6W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.9N 135.1W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 19.5N 140.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 21.5N 145.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 125.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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