Hurricane CLAUDETTE
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HURRICANE CLAUDETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT TUE JUL 15 2003
CLAUDETTE HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT APPROACHES
THE TEXAS COAST. THE EYE HAS BECOME CLOSED AND CONTRACTED TO 25 NM
DIAMETER....WHILE THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS FALLEN TO 981 MB. THE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT MONITORING THE HURRICANE REPORTED 80-85
KT FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS IN THE NORTHEASTERN EYEWALL....WHILE WSR-88D
DATA FROM HOUSTON HAS INDICATED WINDS NEAR 90 KT. BASED ON THIS...
THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 70 KT. PART OF THE EYE AND
EYEWALL ARE ALREADY OVER LAND...SO ONLY SLIGHT ADDITIONAL
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL. AFTER LANDFALL...
CLAUDETTE SHOULD STEADILY WEAKEN UNTIL DISSIPATION IN 48-72 HR.
NOT MUCH TO TALK ABOUT TRACKWISE. CLAUDETTE IS MOVING 285/9 ON THE
SOUTH SIDE OF THE DEVELOPING RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES.
THIS SHOULD CONTINUE A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD
MOTION UNTIL THE CYCLONE DISSIPATES.
NOTE: AN EYE DROPSONDE FROM THE LAST AIRCRAFT FIX RECEIVED AFTER THE
REST OF THE ADVISORY PACKAGE WAS TRANSMITTED REPORTED A CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 979 MB. BASED ON THIS...THE MAXIMUM WINDS MAY REACH
75-80 KT IN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO BEFORE CLAUDETTE WEAKENS OVER
LAND.
FORECASTER BEVEN
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 15/1500Z 28.5N 96.1W 70 KT
12HR VT 16/0000Z 28.7N 97.6W 45 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 16/1200Z 29.0N 99.8W 30 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 17/0000Z 29.5N 102.3W 25 KT...INLAND
48HR VT 17/1200Z 30.0N 104.5W 20 KT...INLAND DISSIPATING
72HR VT 18/1200Z...DISSIPATED
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