000
AXPZ20 KNHC 130300
TWDEP
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Mon Apr 13 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0200 UTC.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
A surface trough extends from 10N75W to 03N83W to 05.5N97W. The
ITCZ extends from 06N98W to 07N130W to 05N135W to beyond
05.5N140W. A southern hemispheric ITCZ extends from 03.4S93W to
02.5S99W to 03S104W to 02.5S110W to beyond 03.4S114W. Scattered
moderate convection is noted from 01.5N to 08N between 81W and
101W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from
06N to 08.5N between 103W and 118W, and from 02N to 05N between
120W and 130W. Scattered moderate convection is noted S of 02S
between 88W and 104W near the southern hemispheric ITCZ.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...
Weak high pressure is centered just S of Isla Guadalupe and
extends a surface ridge southeastward into the waters offshore of
Cabo Corrientes. The ridge is to the south of a cold front
entering the offshore waters of Baja Norte, that reaches from
near the border of Baja Norte and Southern California through
30N120W to 27N130W. This pattern is supporting light to gentle
SW to W winds ahead of the front, across the Baja waters north
of 30N, and light to gentle NW to N winds across the remaining
Baja waters, becoming moderate to fresh near the coast of Cabo
San Lazaro. Gentle N to NE winds then extend from Baja Sur beyond
the Revillagigedo Islands. Moderate seas of 4 to 5 ft in mixed
swell prevail across these waters. Light to gentle N winds
prevail across most of the Gulf of California with slight seas,
becoming moderate to locally fresh across the entrance to the
Gulf. The exception to this is across northern portions where
fresh SW gap winds and moderate seas prevail. Farther east,
gentle NW winds prevail across the waters from Las Tres Marias to
Puerto Angel, except moderate winds near the coast of Cabo
Corrientes. Fresh to strong N gap winds are noted in the
Tehuantepec region N of 15N, where seas are around 6 ft.
For the forecast, the cold front will move into the Baja Norte
waters early Mon then gradually dissipate across central Baja and
the Gulf of California Tue. Expect light to gentle NW to N winds
across the Baja waters tonight and Mon ahead of the front,
before winds begin to freshen Mon evening through Tue. High
pressure behind the front will build across the region and dominate
conditions through the rest of the week. Fresh to strong SW to W
gap winds are expected in the northern Gulf of California
through Mon night ahead of the front, with winds then becoming
moderate to fresh from the N through the entire Gulf early Tue
morning through Wed. Elsewhere between Baja Sur and Puerto Angel,
winds will be moderate or weaker with moderate seas through Tue.
Pulsing fresh to strong northerly gap winds will prevail across
and downwind of the Tehuantepec region through Tue morning, with
seas building to near 8 ft during the early morning hours.
Afterwards, moderate and variable winds are expected through
midweek.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
Fresh to strong NE to E gap winds prevail across the Papagayo
region and extend downwind to near 88.5W this evening, producing
rough seas to 8 ft that reach to 90W. Moderate to fresh N to NE
winds and moderate seas in SW swell prevail in the Gulf of
Panama, and extend beyond the Azuero Peninsula to 06N. Light to
gentle winds and moderate seas in SW swell dominate the remainder
of the offshore forecast waters. Scattered moderate convection
continues across the near and offshore waters of western Panama
and Costa Rica.
For the forecast, broad high pressure will continue N of the
area through Wed before weakening, and maintain fresh gap winds
pulsing to strong during the nighttime and early morning hours
across the Papagayo region to near 90W. Winds to near 30 kt, and
seas up to 9 ft are forecast tonight. In the Gulf of Panama,
moderate northerly winds, pulsing to fresh each night, are
expected throughout the forecast period. Light to gentle winds
and moderate seas will prevail elsewhere. Cross-equatorial SW
swell will raise seas to 6 to 8 ft between Ecuador and the
Galapagos Islands Tue through Wed. Active convection will
continue across the waters S of 09N and W of 80W through Mon,
and will propagate westward.
...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...
High pressure NW of the area extends a ridge southward through
30N142W and into the area W of 125W. East of the ridge, a cold
front has crossed into the local waters, passing through 30N120W
to 26N136W. A weak ridge prevails ahead of this front and
extends to offshore of Cabo Corrientes. Gentle to moderate NW to
N winds prevail north of the front, with moderate seas 5 to 7 ft
in NW swell. The pressure gradient between the ridge and lower
pressures in the vicinity of the ITCZ supports moderate to fresh
winds N of the ITCZ to about 14N between 97W and 124W, and south
of 25N to the west of 124W. Moderate seas in mixed NW and S
swell generally prevail across the area waters south of the front,
with seas to 7 ft within the trade wind zone between 95W and
120W.
For the forecast, the weak high pressure ridge will dominate the
weather pattern across the northern forecast waters through
early Mon with little change in winds and seas, before high
pressure behind the front shifts southeastward to near 33N
through midweek, and strengthens the pressure gradient across the
local area modestly. Moderate winds are expected in the trade
wind zone W of 95W through Mon, becoming moderate to locally
fresh Mon night through Fri. A weakening cold front across the
northern waters will move into the central Baja Peninsula to near
22N134W by Tue then gradually dissipate. Moderate N to NE winds
and moderate seas in NW swell are forecast in the wake of the
front through Wed.
$$
Stripling