000
AXPZ20 KNHC 110241
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Sat Apr 11 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0220 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 09.5N75W to 03.5N82W to 04.5N95W. 
The ITCZ continues from 04.5N95W to 07.5N131W to beyond 07N140W.
A second southern hemispheric ITCZ extends from 03.4S110W to 
beyond 01S120W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection 
is noted from 03.5N to 08.5N between 79W and 91W, and near the
ITCZ from 03N to 09N between 96W and 134W. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Weak high pressure offshore of central Baja California near 120W
extends a ridge southeastward to offshore of SW Mexico. This
pattern, combined with diurnal heating, is supporting moderate 
to locally fresh NW winds across the nearshore waters of the Baja
Peninsula, with gentle to moderate winds farther offshore. Seas
across the area waters are 4 to 5 ft in mixed SW and NW swell.
Light to gentle NW to W winds prevail across the remaining waters
of Mexico eastward to Puerto Angel, with moderate seas to 5 ft in
SW swell. Light to gentle winds prevail across the Gulf of 
California. Strong N gap winds have begun to expand downwind of the
Gulf of Tehuantepec, downwind to 15N. Seas there are 6 to 7 ft 
with these winds. 

For the forecast, pulsing fresh to strong northerly gap winds 
are expected across and downwind of the Tehuantepec region 
through early Sun morning, with seas building up to 9 ft during
the early mornings. Afterwards, mainly moderate to fresh N winds
are expected through Tue. Moderate to locally fresh NW winds and
moderate seas are expected off Baja California through the 
middle of next week, as high pressure gradually strengthens 
across the region beginning Mon. Fresh to locally strong SW to W
winds are expected in the northern Gulf of California tonight 
through Sun night ahead of a couple of weak frontal boundaries 
approaching Baja California Norte. Seas will build up to 5 or 6 
ft with these winds. Elsewhere between Baja and Puerto Angel, 
winds will be moderate or weaker with moderate seas through the 
middle of next week. 

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh to locally strong E gap winds prevail across the Gulf of 
Papagayo and downwind to near 88W this evening. Seas are 6 to 8 
ft with these winds. Moderate to locally fresh N winds and seas 
of 4 to 5 ft in SW swell prevail in the Gulf of Panama, and 
extend to just offshore of the Azuero Peninsula. Active
convection offshore of Colombia this afternoon has diminish and
it focused further inland. Meanwhile scattered moderate isolated
strong convection extends from the waters of Costa Rica
southwestward and well offshore, likely producing gusty winds and
locally rough seas. Otherwise, light to gentle winds and 
moderate seas in SW swell dominate the remainder of the offshore
forecast waters.

For the forecast, fresh to strong gap winds are expected mainly 
during the nighttime and early morning hours in the Papagayo area
and downwind to beyond 90W through at least Tue. Winds up to 30 
kt, and seas up to 9 ft are forecast this upcoming weekend. In 
the Gulf of Panama, moderate northerly winds, occasionally fresh,
are expected throughout the forecast period, with stronger conditions
most likely during this weekend. Light to gentle winds and moderate
seas will prevail elsewhere. Pulses of active convection will
continue across the waters S of 09N through the weekend, and will
propagate westward.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

High pressure well NW of the area extends a ridge southeastward
into the area, and dominates the forecast area N of 15N and W of
110W, including the Revillagigedo Islands. A sharp upper level
trough has moved into the area N of 20N today between 125W and
135W, and is inducing unstable conditions, with multilayer 
clouds and scattered showers from 19N to 28N between 114W and 
123W. The pressure gradient between the ridge and lower 
pressures in the vicinity of the ITCZ supports moderate to 
locally fresh winds N of the ITCZ to about 16N between 100W and
130W, and south of 24N to the west of 130W. Moderate seas of 5 to
7 ft in mixed NW and S swell generally prevail across the area 
waters. 

For the forecast, high pressure will remain in control of the 
weather pattern across the northern forecast waters over the 
next several days with little change in winds and seas, before
the high shifts southeast Mon through midweek to strengthen the
pressure gradient modestly. Mainly moderate winds are expected 
in the trade wind zone through Mon. On Sun, another cold front 
will enter the N waters, and likely reach the northern Gulf 
California on Mon. Gentle to moderate N winds and moderate seas 
are forecast in the wake of the front.

$$
Stripling