000
AXPZ20 KNHC 140317
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Tue Apr 14 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0200 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 10N75W to low pres 1008 mb near
04N80.5W to 02.5N85W to 05N103W. The ITCZ extends from 05.5N104W
to 04N136W to beyond 04.5N140W. A southern hemispheric ITCZ 
extends from 02.5S97W to 01S105W to beyond 02.5S120W. Scattered 
moderate convection is noted from 03.5N to 07.5N E of 81W.
Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 02N
to 08N between 85W and 117W, and from 03N to 10N between 117W and
138W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A cold front is analyzed from southwestern Arizona across the far
northern Gulf of California and through Baja California Norte
along 30N to beyond 27N120W. Weak high pressure is bridging
across the weakening front from the NW, and yielding gentle to
moderate NW to N winds across the nearshore waters of Baja and 
SW Mexico, to the south of the front, and light to gentle N to NE
winds farther offshore and across the Revillagigedo Islands. 
Moderate seas to 5 ft in mixed NW and SW swell prevail across 
these waters. Behind the front, gentle to moderate NW to N winds
prevail, with seas 6 to 8 ft in fresh NW swell. Gentle N winds 
prevail across southern portions of the Gulf of California with seas
of 2 to 3 ft, except for fresh N-NW winds along the coast of
Sinaloa at Altamura, where seas are likely 4 ft. Fresh SW gap 
winds and moderate seas prevail continue across north portions of
the Gulf. Fresh to strong N gap winds are noted in the 
Tehuantepec region N of 15N, where seas are around 6 ft. 

For the forecast, the cold front will gradually move SE and dissipate
across central Baja and the central Gulf of California on Tue. 
Expect freshening NW to N winds across the Baja waters late
tonight through Tue night. High pressure behind the front will 
build across the region and dominate conditions through the rest 
of the week. Fresh to strong SW to W gap winds are expected in 
the northern Gulf of California tonight ahead of the front, with 
winds then becoming moderate to fresh from the N through the 
entire Gulf early Tue morning through Wed evening. Elsewhere 
between Baja Sur and Puerto Angel, winds will be moderate or 
weaker with moderate seas through Fri. Pulsing fresh to strong 
northerly gap winds will prevail across the Tehuantepec region 
through midday Tue. Looking ahead, high pressure will weaken 
across the region Sat leading to diminishing winds and seas.

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh to strong NE to E gap winds prevail across the Papagayo
region and extend downwind to near 88W, producing seas to 7 ft,
with seas to 8 ft extending farther offshore between 88W and 91W.
Moderate to locally fresh N to NE winds and moderate seas in SW 
swell prevail in the Gulf of Panama, and extend beyond the Azuero
Peninsula to near 04.5N. Light to gentle winds and moderate seas
in SW swell dominate the remainder of the offshore forecast 
waters. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection continues 
across the offshore waters of Costa Rica and extends southward to
02N. 

For the forecast, broad high pressure will continue N of the
area through Wed before gradually weakening through the end of
the week, and will maintain fresh gap winds pulsing to strong 
during the nighttime and early morning hours across the Papagayo 
region to near 90W. In the Gulf of Panama, moderate northerly 
winds, pulsing to fresh each night, are expected throughout the 
forecast period. Light to gentle winds and moderate seas will 
prevail elsewhere. Cross-equatorial SW swell will raise seas to 
6 to 8 ft between Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands Tue through 
Wed evening. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

High pressure N of the area extends a ridge southward into the 
area W of 110W. A cold front is analyzed from Baja California Norte
along 30N to 27N120W, then weakens and is nearly stationary to 
24N138W. Moderate N to NE winds prevail north of the front, with
seas 5 to 7 ft in NW swell. The pressure gradient between the 
ridge and lower pressures in the vicinity of the ITCZ supports 
moderate to fresh winds south of 15N between 100W and 127W, and
moderate to fresh NE to E winds south of 25N and west of 127W. 
Moderate seas to around 6 ft in mixed NW and S swell generally 
prevail across the area waters south of the front. Scattered
convection has become more active along and N of the ITCZ to 08N
this evening, and is producing areas of strong and gusty winds with
seas to 8 ft within the trade wind zone between 100W and 125W.

1031 mb high pressure north of the front will shift southeastward
to near 33N through Wed, and strengthen the pressure gradient
modestly across the local area. The weakening cold front across 
the northern waters will move into the central Baja Peninsula by 
Tue then gradually dissipate. Moderate N to NE winds and moderate
to briefly rough seas in NW swell are forecast in the wake of 
the front through Wed. Cross-equatorial swell will raise seas
along the equator 7 to near 8 ft Tue through Wed. Moderate to 
fresh winds are expected in the trade wind zone through Fri.

$$
Stripling