000
AXPZ20 KNHC 142045
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Tue Apr 14 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2000 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 08N76W to 05N90W to 03N111W. The 
ITCZ extends from 03N111W to 05N125W to beyond 04N140W. Southern
hemispheric ITCZ extends from 04S93W to 03S108W to beyond 
02S120W. Numerous moderate to strong convection is noted from 01N
to 11N between 120W and 140W. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection is noted from 00N to 07N between 84W and 105W. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

High pressure building southward from offshore California is
leading to fresh NW winds for waters N of Cabo Corrientes and the
Revillagigedo islands, including much of the Gulf of California.
Seas in these offshore waters are 5 to 7 ft, with 3 to 5 ft seas
in the Gulf of California. Fresh N gap winds are in the Gulf of
Tehuantepec, where seas are around 6 ft. Elsewhere, mainly gentle
winds prevail, with moderate seas. 

For the forecast, fresh NW winds will impact the waters on both 
sides of the Baja California Peninsula into tonight as high 
pressure builds in from the North Pacific. This ridging will then
dominate the waters through the week. NW swell will propagate 
into Baja waters Thu and may bring rough seas into Sat. Between 
Baja Sur and Puerto Angel, winds will be moderate or weaker with 
moderate seas through Fri. Pulsing fresh to strong northerly gap 
winds will prevail across the Tehuantepec region into this 
afternoon. Looking ahead, high pressure will weaken across the 
region Sat leading to diminishing winds and seas. 

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh to strong NE to E gap winds prevail across the Papagayo 
region and extend downwind to near 89W, producing seas 7 to 8 ft.
Moderate to fresh N to NE winds and moderate seas prevail in the
Gulf of Panama and extend beyond the Azuero Peninsula to near 
05N. Light to gentle winds and moderate seas in SW swell dominate
the remainder of the offshore forecast waters. Scattered 
moderate isolated strong convection continues across the offshore
waters of Costa Rica and extends southward to near the equator 
north of the Galapagos Islands. 

For the forecast, broad high pressure will continue N of the 
area into Wed night before gradually weakening through the end 
of the week. This will maintain fresh gap winds pulsing to strong
during the nighttime and early morning hours across the Papagayo
region to near 90W through Wed night, then yield moderate winds 
pulsing to fresh each night into the weekend. In the Gulf of 
Panama, moderate northerly winds will pulse to fresh tonight and
Wed night, then will diminish slightly through the rest of the 
week. Light to gentle winds and moderate seas will prevail 
elsewhere.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

High pressure N of the area extends a ridge southward into the 
area W of 110W. The pressure gradient between the ridge and 
lower pressure in the vicinity of the ITCZ supports moderate to 
fresh winds south of 14N between 100W and 125W, and moderate to 
fresh NE to E winds south of 25N and west of 125W. Scattered 
convection has become more active along and N of the ITCZ W of 
120W, and is producing areas of strong and gusty winds. 

1030 mb high pressure will shift southeastward to near 33N 
through Wed, and strengthen the pressure gradient modestly across
the local area. Cross- equatorial swell will raise seas along 
the equator 7 to near 8 ft through Wed. Moderate to fresh winds 
are expected in the trade wind zone through Fri.

$$
Konarik