000
AXNT20 KNHC 301036
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Mar 30 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
1020 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Gale Warning and Western Atlantic Large, Long-period Swell: 
A cold front extends from 31N53W to 25N71W, then stalls while it
weakens across the central Bahamas offshore waters to the Straits
of Florida. The front will reach from 31N46W to 27N55W to 21N64W
this evening. Strong to near-gale force N to NE winds, and rough
to very rough seas to 17 ft are expected behind the front. Winds
will likely reach gust to gale force in the NE offshore waters N
of 27N and E of 60W from this afternoon through early Tue morning.
Thereafter, the front will stall and gradually weaken before it
dissipates over the eastern offshore waters Tue night into Wed.
Strong high pressure will build in the wake of the front, which
will support the continuation of fresh to strong NE to E winds,
and rough to very rough seas across most of the offshore forecast
waters through the end of the week. However, seas above 12 ft are
forecast to subside Wed night.

Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas and Offshore Waters 
Forecasts issued by the National Hurricane Center, at the 
following websites: 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more details.

East Atlantic Gale Warning: 
Meteo-France has issued a Gale Warning for the marine zone of
Agadir near the coast of Morocco through 30/18 UTC. Please refer
to the Meteo-France High Seas Forecast listed on the website 
https://wwmiws.wmo.int

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near the coastal border of
Senegal, then reaches southwestward to near 09N19W. Farther 
south, the ITCZ begins near 02N14W then continues to 00N27W to
Brazil near 02S40W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is
from 03S to 06N between 00W and 15W, and from 05S to 02N between
20W and 41W. 

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weakening stationary front extends across the Florida Straits
to the SE Gulf near 24N85W. Strong high pressure over the NW
Atlantic waters, building in the wake of the front, extends a
ridge basin-wide, which is supporting moderate to fresh E to SE
winds E of 90W and gentle to moderate E to SE winds W of 90W. Seas
are mainly slight W of 90W and moderate elsewhere. 

For the forecast, the tail of the front over the SE Gulf will 
remain stationary while weakening before dissipating later today. 
High pressure will build in the wake of the front, supporting 
moderate to fresh E to SE winds, and moderate seas over the E Gulf
through Fri night. Over the western half of the Gulf, moderate to
fresh SE winds are forecast, except for locally strong E to SE 
winds off the northern Yucatan Peninsula at night. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A tight pressure gradient between a strong Atlantic ridge building
in the wake of a front N of the area and a 1009 mb low over NW
Colombia is supporting fresh to strong NE to E winds along with
moderate to rough seas over the NW, SW and central Caribbean.
Moderate to locally fresh NE winds and slight to moderate seas are
elsewhere in the E Caribbean.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure N 
of the area and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong 
winds and rough seas offshore Colombia through Fri night, pulsing 
to near gale force at night through midweek. Surface ridging 
extending to the northern Caribbean will also support fresh to 
strong NE winds in the lee side of Cuba, the Windward Passage, and
south of Hispaniola through Thu night. 

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Refer to the Special Features section at the very beginning about
a gale warning and large long period swell generating very rough 
seas.

A cold front extends from 31N53W to 25N71W, then stalls while it 
weakens across the central Bahamas offshore waters to the Straits 
of Florida. Strong high pressure building behind the front
supports strong to near gale-force NE winds from the southern 
Florida seaboard to 53W along with rough to very rough seas. Ahead
of the front, a weak surface trough with scattered to isolated
showers prevail. Otherwise, a 1040 mb high NE to the Azores
Islands extends a ridge to the eastern Atlantic subtropical waters
and supports fresh to near gale force NE to W winds and rough to
very rough seas to 14 ft N of 22N and E of 30W.  

For the forecast west of 55W, the front will reach from 31N46W to
27N55W to 21N64W this evening. Strong to near-gale force N to NE 
winds, and rough to very rough seas are expected behind the front,
likely reaching gust to gale force in the NE offshore waters N of
27N and E of 60W from this afternoon through early Tue morning. 
Thereafter, the front will stall and gradually weaken before 
dissipating over the eastern offshore waters Tue night into Wed. 
Strong high pressure will build in the wake of the front, which 
will support the continuation of fresh to strong NE to E winds, 
and rough to very rough seas across most of the offshore forecast 
waters through the end of the week.
 
$$
Ramos