NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
NHC Graphical Outlook Archive (Text)
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ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT SUN JUL 22 2012 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... 1. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CONTAINING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED OVER THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS... SOUTH FLORIDA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS... INCLUDING THE FLORIDA STRAITS. A WIND GUST TO 62 MPH WAS REPORTED AT FOWEY ROCKS FLORIDA EARLIER TODAY...AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT SEVERAL LOCATIONS ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST AND IN THE FLORIDA KEYS. ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE TODAY...SURFACE PRESSURES ARE UNUSUALLY HIGH AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR ANY ADDITIONAL ORGANIZATION OF THIS SYSTEM TO OCCUR. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THIS VIGOROUS DISTURBANCE WILL PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS IN BRIEF SQUALLS ALONG WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND GRADUALLY SPREAD INTO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND NORTH FLORIDA BY TUESDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER STEWART NNNN
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