NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
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ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT FRI AUG 12 2011 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX...LOCATED ABOUT 260 MILES NORTH OF BERMUDA. 1. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT NEAR 20 MPH. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF A SURFACE CIRCULATION AT THIS TIME... AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS HAVE BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. THERE REMAINS THE POTENTIAL FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...AND IT HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE... 40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 2. A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 575 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 3. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 675 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON. CONTINUED SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE LOW MOVES WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD OR WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT31 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT1. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT21 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT1. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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