NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
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ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT WED AUG 10 2011 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... 1. A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS WESTWARD SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES INTO THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED NEAR A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. A SECOND AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. 2. THE REMNANTS OF EMILY ARE LOCATED ABOUT 715 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND...MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 20 MPH. THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY DISORGANIZED... AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT AS THIS SYSTEM BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH A FRONTAL ZONE. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF REGENERATING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN NNNN
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