NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
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ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT MON OCT 18 2010 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... 1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN DISORGANIZED...BUT HAVE INCREASED NEAR A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE EAST COAST OF NICARAGUA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM BEFORE IT INTERACTS WITH LAND IN A DAY OR TWO. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF THIS DISTURBANCE BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. 2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS PRODUCING A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS COULD BECOME A LITTLE MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION OVER THIS PART OF THE ATLANTIC OCEAN IS NOT NORMALLY EXPECTED THIS TIME OF YEAR. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE... 10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER PASCH NNNN
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