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ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... 1. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA CONTINUES TO GENERATE WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE. ALTHOUGH THE LOWEST SURFACE PRESSURES ARE LOCATED BETWEEN THE ISLE OF YOUTH CUBA AND GRAND CAYMAN...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE OCCURRING A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES TO THE EAST AND SOUTH OF THIS LOCATION. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE BEFORE MERGING WITH A FRONTAL SYSTEM NEAR THE FLORIDA PENINSULA BY LATE TOMORROW. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM LATER TODAY. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT... OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...JAMAICA...AND CUBA TODAY. THESE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO SPREAD OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS...SOUTHERN FLORIDA...AND THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS LATER TODAY AND WEDNESDAY. INTERESTS IN CUBA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...CONSULT STATEMENTS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE OR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 2. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIA...LOCATED ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 15 MPH. CONDITIONS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER PASCH NNNN
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