NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
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ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT SUN SEP 5 2010 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... 1. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE REMNANT LOW OF GASTON LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION...AND THE LOW COULD REDEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT ANY TIME TODAY OR TONIGHT AS IT MOVES WESTWARD NEAR 15 MPH. INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR SOME OF THESE ISLANDS IF ADVISORIES ARE RE-INITIATED. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT... OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 2. SATELLITE IMAGES AND RADAR IMAGERY FROM MEXICO INDICATE THAT THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO HAS NOT BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE THE SYSTEM MOVES INLAND. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/PASCH NNNN
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