NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
NHC Graphical Outlook Archive (Text)
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ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT WED JUL 7 2010 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... 1. A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 290 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED NEAR THE CENTER. TWO NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT ARE CURRENTLY CONDUCTING A RESEARCH MISSION IN AND AROUND THE DISTURBANCE...AND INFORMATION RECEIVED SO FAR SUGGESTS THAT A TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY BE FORMING. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AND IF ADDITIONAL ORGANIZATION CONTINUES...THEN FORECAST ADVISORIES WILL BE INITIATED LATER TONIGHT OR THURSDAY MORNING...WHICH WOULD REQUIRE THAT TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL REGIONS OF CENTRAL AND LOWER TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE. THIS DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST TO BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER STEWART/CANGIALOSI NNNN
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