NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
NHC Graphical Outlook Archive (Text)
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ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... 1. A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...CENTERED NEAR THE GULF OF HONDURAS... IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND ADJACENT LAND MASSES. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND SOME DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER OF THE BROAD CIRCULATION MOVES INLAND OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA BY LATE SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE OVER CENTRAL AMERICA...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...CUBA...AND ADJACENT ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...RESULTING IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BERG NNNN
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